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then the price would have been $241, in other words, who the hell knows what your airfare would have been?

Indeed, over the 320 to 1 trading days, there were 135 different changes in prices for this itinerary! Four of them. This was the date the $197 plan was available. It would have been your biggest move to make the booking the day before; the bottom rate was $479.

However, even in the most common one to three month bookings, there were significant variations, with many dates with rates in the $200 area and many dates with rates in the $300 area. In 2013, for the mean journey, the minimum available ticket price varied 92-fold.

Mean variance between the minimum rate when you purchased the best date and the maximum rate when you purchased the least date was a hefty $312! When it comes to purchasing a flight, time is everything. But we can make a notebook about why the rates are changing so much (and we actually did make a rather long post if you're interested) But here's a short outline.

You might think that tariffs may vary because carriers increase or decrease them or begin or end the sale of them. And there is another why the cheapest tariffs available vary. This is because various tariff classes are always out of stock or reopened when other travellers buy or buy places.

Air carriers usually have at least 10 or 15 different rates for each flight they provide. Delta, for example, offers 18 different rates on the New York to Miami bazaar which range from $113 per leg to $723 per leg (before tax)! You have a ticket price of $113, a ticket price of $123, a ticket price of $128 and so on.

As the other carriers flying this service are offering similar fare offers, there are well over 100 possible fare options at any one point in tim. Here is the important part: The fare for a flight at a certain point in your life depends at least in part on how the flight is made.

Delta, for example, could say that they will be selling the first 20 places at a $113 rate, the next 20 places at a $123 rate, the next 20 places at a $128 rate, and so on. So, if each of these fares is refilled "bucket", the actual cost of another flight ticket will increase. Since there are literally hundred of pages of travel pages (not to speak of the airlines' own pages) all offering the same places for sales at the same times, at any given point in history they are buying tens of thousands of places, and each buy could increase the cost of the next buy on the same flight.

While the general tendency is for air travel to become more costly over the years and for more seat sales, carriers will make adaptations from period to period and free up more lower shovel seat space. For this reason, tariffs sometimes move both upwards and downwards, even without an express reduction by the carrier.

Over the past year we have reviewed a lot of dates and come to the conclusion that the best approximate point in purchase of a flight within Germany is 49 trading day in front. In order to help you get the most savings, we recommend that you review and regularly review the rates for all possible travel you are considering.

If you find a good ticket price, be prepared to buy it.